Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 3.369099 3.720839 4.102103 4.547475 5.055213 5.618063 6.292040
2025-09-14 2.840767 3.306128 3.845195 4.520921 5.352487 6.351783 7.657825
2025-09-21 2.497551 3.015743 3.645056 4.475547 5.557762 6.941563 8.880313
2025-09-28 2.185476 2.711455 3.373045 4.280779 5.517028 7.177038 9.637112
2025-10-05 2.030350 2.581896 3.298324 4.317537 5.764766 7.801820 10.992283
2025-10-12 1.919020 2.494646 3.264287 4.395928 6.066064 8.523490 12.582581
2025-10-19 1.823806 2.417960 3.233290 4.468657 6.358033 9.256174 14.293310
2025-10-26 1.738530 2.346179 3.199931 4.529671 6.631928 9.985849 16.108119
2025-11-02 1.654963 2.269148 3.150583 4.558264 6.852622 10.649671 17.911437
2025-11-09 1.539209 2.136657 3.008397 4.428350 6.799563 10.841479 18.872415
2025-11-16 1.452754 2.041410 2.914562 4.365174 6.847647 11.208761 20.223575
2025-11-23 1.384272 1.968494 2.849146 4.341021 6.957194 11.695012 21.893197
2025-11-30 1.351869 1.949933 2.869017 4.463101 7.343018 12.758068 25.022939
2025-12-07 1.290344 1.882319 2.806160 4.439136 7.461570 13.322958 27.177390
2025-12-14 1.230089 1.812990 2.735578 4.395062 7.536442 13.808102 29.248931
2025-12-21 1.146393 1.701640 2.589042 4.204690 7.311547 13.642686 29.690647
2025-12-28 1.111737 1.667682 2.569185 4.240634 7.532137 14.452743 32.804426
2026-01-04 1.086769 1.647995 2.571792 4.317275 7.841390 15.501362 36.828697
2026-01-11 1.062370 1.627738 2.571792 4.388371 8.146148 16.585692 41.261970
2026-01-18 1.037550 1.605311 2.566328 4.448011 8.432499 17.671116 46.028134
2026-01-25 1.009287 1.575463 2.545709 4.475959 8.652381 18.628487 50.695353
2026-02-01 0.959626 1.506403 2.450821 4.348970 8.513497 18.655848 52.266615
2026-02-08 0.922587 1.457680 2.390355 4.287208 8.516913 19.055041 55.266741